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Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders virtually tied in national poll

Quinnipiac University Poll: Race statistically tied

The Quinnipiac University Poll came out this morning. It shows Bernie Sander and Hillary Clinton in a statistical tie. Of note are the following from the report.

In the Democratic race nationwide, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has 44 percent, with Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont at 42 percent, and 11 percent undecided, unchanged from February 5.

and …

The Democratic gender gap is shrinking as women back Clinton over Sanders 47 – 41 percent while men back Sanders 44 – 40 percent. Clinton would have a good chance of winning in November, 83 percent of Democrats say, compared to 69 percent who say Sanders has a good chance. Looking at key characteristics among Democratic voters:

  • 93 percent say Clinton has the right kind of experience to be president, compared to 74 percent for Sanders 87 percent say Sanders is honest and trustworthy, compared to 61 percent for Clinton;
  • 87 percent say Clinton has strong leadership qualities, with 79 percent for Sanders;
  • 86 percent say Sanders cares about their needs and problems, compared to 78 percent for Clinton;
  • 82 percent say Sanders shares their values, compared to 75 percent for Clinton.

Before Bernie Sanders supporters get too excited and drop their intensity it is worth noting that American elections are not won necessarily by national popular vote but by performance in individual states to acquire said state delegates. Currently Clinton leads in 10 of the 12 early March states.

State Clinton Support Sanders Support Spread
Alabama 59% 31% Clinton +28
Arkansas 57% 32% Clinton +25
Georgia 60% 26% Clinton +34
Louisiana 60% 29% Clinton +31
Massachusetts 42% 49% Sanders +7
Michigan 50% 40% Clinton +10
Mississippi 60% 26% Clinton +34
Oklahoma 46% 44% Clinton +2
Tennessee 58% 32% Clinton +26
Texas 57% 34% Clinton +23
Virginia 56% 34% Clinton +22
Vermont 10% 86% Sanders +76

 

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