If this professor is correct that Donald Trump will be impeached by Republicans, I am not sure if it is a good thing. And here is why.
Every day the news cycle makes it more possible that Donald Trump could likely be impeached. And it is not only about his likely collusion with Russia. But it could be his financial dealings.
Professor Allan Lichtman predicted that Trump would be president. Now he is predicting that the Donald will be impeached in his new book "The Case for Impeachment." Politico is reporting the following.
The professor who took hell for predicting President Donald Trump has a much longer case for predicting President Mike Pence — and it’s all in his new book, out next week.
Allan Lichtman, a professor at American University, reached meme-status last fall for predicting long before anyone else that Trump would win, using a formula based on the popularity of the party in control of the White House that accurately predicted the eight previous presidential elections. Now Lichtman wants everyone to pay attention to the rest of what came through his crystal ball — that Trump will now be impeached. ...
Lichtman’s list of possible offenses that could get Trump to that point are familiar: charges of treason with Russia, abuse of power and emoluments violations. Lichtman also cites now-Attorney General Jeff Sessions, then a senator, who argued that a president could be impeached for offenses committed before he took office. Among those potential offenses, Lichtman lists Trump’s housing violations, charity problems, potential violations of the Cuba embargo and Trump University.
Republicans would be much happier with Pence than they are with Trump. Pence is one of them. They still see Trump as an outsider.
For those who want Trump impeached, note that it is a double edge sword. Trump is unlikely to get re-elected given that there is enough material on Trump to sink any second term run. If he is impeached, Mike Pence would become president. And Pence is ideological. He would be more dangerous than a core-less Trump.
Also published on Medium.