Michael Steele provides a coherent rationale for disregarding the polls. Their technology is outdated based on current technologies.
Ignore the polls. GO VOTE!
We should not believe in conspiracy theories about polls. But polls can be biased based on the independent and dependent variables it uses in their formulas.
Most believe that the past is prologue regarding midterm elections. The party in power usually gets a shellacking. Of course, the two exceptions were under extreme circumstances, as occurred with George W. Bush during the aftermath of 9/11 and Republican overreach in the Bill Clinton/Monica Lewinski scandal. Ironically these occurred with two consecutive presidential cycles.
One must ask whether the overturn of Roe v. Wade and the attempt to kill Democracy by the Right Wing insurrectionists’ January 6th domestic terrorist attack on the United States are considered extreme circumstances. It should be. It will not be if Democrats continue to allow the Republicans to define a false narrative.
Republicans decided — and they seem to be succeeding so far — to force the election on inflation, immigration, and crime. Democrats decided to campaign mostly on the Roe v. Wade overturn and the fight for democracy. Democrats should have the upper hand if they get away from their high-priced consultants, who would not know the angst of the average American if it sat on them.
The three major topics Republicans are running on and the two major topics Democrats are running on are all Democratic strengths if messaged correctly. There should just be enough time left to move the trajectory of the polls. After all, didn’t the definitive Hillary Clinton slide occur 11 days before the election when FBI Director James Comey inserted himself into the election?
How should every Democrat campaign? Blame Republicans for the inflation, crime, and immigration problems and then immediately pivot to Republicans virtually enslaving women and taking away our democracy. Here is how to do it.
Republicans are blaming Democrats for high inflation, crime rates, and undocumented immigration at the border while attempting to control women’s bodies and destroy democracy as we want it. But it is their fault. Their corporations are selfishly and unpatriotically raising prices because they can, not because they must. It is their refusal to support immigration policies that will lower inflation and solve the border problem in a tied Senate. Their unleashing of guns from their corporations make it easy for criminals to kill our loved ones and increase mass shootings. It is why the states they control have murder rates 40% higher than states run by Democrats. Now, if they win, they are coming after the control of every woman’s body in every state in the United States. And they intend to ensure it is permanent by making sure they can overturn elections, the death of democracy.
Republicans understand that repetition is powerful. The above message or the permutation of it to make it district/state specific repeated over and over is the answer.
We must dismiss the polls as we work hard to get voters engaged. We should also heed Former Republican Party Chair Michael Steele’s words. It should ensure those who are demoralized by them get an extra bout of positivity.
“I think this is going to be a very important moment for polling in this country after this election because you’re going to see just how whack it all was,” Michael Steele said. “The voters out there who are not getting captured by polls right now — there are major report people who are being asked questions, who aren’t telling the whole truth and nothing but the truth about where their vote is going to go and what they’re doing. And the same is true for independents and others out there who don’t trust that element of this system because of how it’s used to manipulate and so forth. So people don’t trust it. But then you have this whole other group of people who aren’t even captured. Young people, especially, who are on their cell phones, they, you know, this technology, polling hasn’t caught up to this technology in a way in which you capture those voters.”
In other words, there is still a lot of flux. The polls are not capturing the full picture. And we are still building the full picture up to election day. So let us all get busy and vote to save democracy, our economy, and our lives.